As the 2024 NFL season approaches, there’s significant chatter surrounding this year’s rookie quarterback class. With several top prospects stepping into starting roles or waiting for their opportunity to shine, the NFL landscape is sure to shift with the infusion of young talent. But what can we expect from these quarterbacks in their debut seasons? To find out, we tasked our favorite AI bot, ChatGPT, with projecting each rookie’s season using their college performances, team situations, and comparisons to similar rookies from the past.
Here is what ChatGPT predicts for the rookie QBs in the 2024 NFL season:
1. Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears)
Williams comes in as the most hyped prospect, and the Bears will fully lean on him to reshape their offense. His ability to make plays outside the pocket and his elite arm talent will be key to Chicago’s improvement. Although he’ll have some rough games adjusting to NFL defenses, he’ll showcase moments of brilliance that give fans hope for the future. Expect the Bears’ offense to be more explosive with Williams leading the charge, and his rushing ability will add an extra dynamic.
Projected Rookie Stats:
- Passing Yards: 4,073
- Passing Touchdowns: 27
- Interceptions: 13
- Rushing Yards: 387
- Rushing Touchdowns: 5
- Completion Percentage: 62.7%
Team Record: 7-10
A step up from their previous season, but still falling short of playoff contention as they continue to rebuild.
2. Jayden Daniels (Washington Commanders)
Daniels will be an exciting presence in Washington’s offense due to his dual-threat capabilities. His rushing ability will likely be his biggest strength early in the season while he continues developing as a passer. The Commanders’ offensive line should help him buy time, and the team’s receiving corps will give him options to distribute the ball, but his success will largely depend on limiting turnovers and making smart decisions under pressure.
Projected Rookie Stats:
- Passing Yards: 2,945
- Passing Touchdowns: 19
- Interceptions: 10
- Rushing Yards: 714
- Rushing Touchdowns: 7
- Completion Percentage: 64.1%
Team Record: 8-9
Washington will stay competitive in most games but will miss the playoffs. Daniels’ running game will be a highlight, but he’ll need more experience as a passer to push this team further.
3. Drake Maye (New England Patriots)
Maye won’t start Week 1, as the Patriots likely stick with Jacoby Brissett or another veteran to open the season while they ease Maye into NFL action. However, given the Patriots’ rebuilding status and potential struggles early in the season, Maye is expected to take over around Week 6 or 7, once the team starts looking toward the future.
When he does get his shot, Maye will bring a strong arm and poise to the offense, but with a limited supporting cast, his rookie year will be a learning experience. He’ll show flashes of what made him a top pick—accurate throws, good decision-making under pressure, and the ability to extend plays with his mobility—but will also have some growing pains, especially as he adjusts to NFL defenses.
Projected Rookie Stats (Starting 10-11 games):
- Passing Yards: 2,979
- Passing Touchdowns: 18
- Interceptions: 10
- Rushing Yards: 278
- Rushing Touchdowns: 3
- Completion Percentage: 63.2%
Team Record: 6-11
New England will likely struggle overall, but Maye’s insertion into the lineup will bring more excitement and promise for the future. While the Patriots will remain outside of playoff contention, Maye’s development by season’s end will give the franchise optimism moving forward.
4. Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons)
Penix Jr. may not start Week 1, but he’ll likely get opportunities later in the season depending on Kirk Cousins’ health and performance. When he does play, expect Penix to be accurate with the football, limiting turnovers and efficiently managing the offense. He won’t put up huge numbers but should be a stabilizing presence for the Falcons when called upon. His ability to throw accurately under pressure will help him as he adjusts to NFL speed.
Projected Rookie Stats (If He Plays 10-12 Games):
- Passing Yards: 2,497
- Passing Touchdowns: 16
- Interceptions: 7
- Completion Percentage: 67.5%
Team Record: 9-8
The Falcons will stay in the playoff hunt, but much of their success will depend on how quickly Penix can step in and manage the offense. They could sneak into a wild card spot if things break their way.
5. Bo Nix (Denver Broncos)
Nix’s experience as a multi-year starter in college will serve him well as a rookie. His poise under pressure and ability to make quick decisions will help the Broncos stay competitive in close games. While he won’t put up eye-popping stats, Nix will be a consistent presence for Denver, reducing turnovers and keeping the offense moving. His strong arm will lead to several deep shots, and he’ll mix in some rushing production as well.
Projected Rookie Stats:
- Passing Yards: 3,178
- Passing Touchdowns: 21
- Interceptions: 9
- Rushing Yards: 382
- Rushing Touchdowns: 4
- Completion Percentage: 65.4%
Team Record: 8-9
The Broncos will hover around .500, with Nix showing enough potential to be seen as a long-term option for the team. His steady play could lead to a more promising 2025 season for Denver.
2024 Rookie of the Year Prediction: Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams will ultimately take home the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. His ability to make big plays, combined with his overall production in both the passing and running games, will set him apart from the other rookies. Despite the Bears not making the playoffs, Williams’ performances will be a key highlight of the season.
Summary
|
Quarterback (Team) |
Team Record |
Passing Yards |
Passing TDs |
Rushing Yards |
Rushing TDs |
|
Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) |
7-10 |
4073 |
27 |
387 |
5 |
|
Jayden Daniels (Washington Commanders) |
8-9 |
2945 |
19 |
714 |
7 |
|
Drake Maye (New England Patriots) |
6-11 |
2979 |
18 |
278 |
3 |
|
Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons) |
9-8 |
2497 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
|
Bo Nix (Denver Broncos) |
8-9 |
3178 |
21 |
382 |
4 |
From Caleb Williams taking the reins in Chicago to Jayden Daniels electrifying Washington’s offense with his dual-threat capabilities, each quarterback enters the 2024 season with different expectations. Caleb Williams is predicted to make the biggest splash and take home Offensive Rookie of the Year honors, while other QBs like Jayden Daniels and Bo Nix will keep their teams competitive in what looks to be a promising rookie class.
If ChatGPT is correct, Drake Maye will be eased into action around Week 6 or 7 for the Patriots, showcasing his potential in a challenging year for New England. Meanwhile, Michael Penix Jr. could be a mid-season replacement for Atlanta, and Bo Nix will likely manage Denver’s offense with steady, consistent play.
